J2 League Round 39

Oita Trinita vs Matsumoto Yamaga analysis

Oita Trinita Matsumoto Yamaga
65 ELO 67
2.6% Tilt 11.5%
1904º General ELO ranking 2409º
37º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
43.4%
Oita Trinita
26.7%
Draw
29.9%
Matsumoto Yamaga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
Oita Trinita
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.9%
Win probability
Matsumoto Yamaga
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oita Trinita
-19%
-13%
Matsumoto Yamaga

ELO progression

Oita Trinita
Matsumoto Yamaga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oita Trinita
Oita Trinita
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2018
JEF
JEF United
2 - 4
Oita Trinita
OIT
41%
25%
35%
64 59 5 0
14 Oct. 2018
MAC
Machida Zelvia
3 - 2
Oita Trinita
OIT
42%
27%
31%
65 67 2 -1
07 Oct. 2018
OIT
Oita Trinita
2 - 1
Kyoto Sanga
KYO
61%
22%
17%
64 57 7 +1
29 Sep. 2018
MIT
Mito Hollyhock
1 - 2
Oita Trinita
OIT
33%
27%
40%
65 61 4 -1
22 Sep. 2018
REN
Renofa Yamaguchi
1 - 3
Oita Trinita
OIT
34%
26%
41%
64 56 8 +1

Matches

Matsumoto Yamaga
Matsumoto Yamaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2018
MAT
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 - 0
Gifu
GIF
71%
19%
10%
68 51 17 0
14 Oct. 2018
ZWE
Zweigen Kanazawa
0 - 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
MAT
34%
28%
38%
67 61 6 +1
06 Oct. 2018
MAT
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 - 0
Ehime
EHI
61%
23%
17%
68 59 9 -1
30 Sep. 2018
MON
Montedio Yamagata
3 - 3
Matsumoto Yamaga
MAT
37%
28%
36%
68 63 5 0
23 Sep. 2018
MAT
Matsumoto Yamaga
2 - 0
Roasso Kumamoto
ROA
75%
18%
8%
67 50 17 +1