J1 League Round 4

Oita Trinita vs FC Tokyo analysis

Oita Trinita FC Tokyo
74 ELO 81
-9.9% Tilt 0.2%
1902º General ELO ranking 419º
37º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
30.1%
Oita Trinita
28.5%
Draw
41.4%
FC Tokyo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
Oita Trinita
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
41.4%
Win probability
FC Tokyo
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oita Trinita
-12%
-2%
FC Tokyo

ELO progression

Oita Trinita
FC Tokyo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oita Trinita
Oita Trinita
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 2021
OIT
Oita Trinita
1 - 1
Tokushima Vortis
TOK
47%
27%
26%
74 71 3 0
19 Dec. 2020
SAG
Sagan Tosu
2 - 2
Oita Trinita
OIT
44%
27%
30%
74 75 1 0
16 Dec. 2020
SHO
Shonan Bellmare
1 - 2
Oita Trinita
OIT
31%
28%
41%
74 69 5 0
12 Dec. 2020
OIT
Oita Trinita
1 - 1
Consadole Sapporo
CON
28%
26%
46%
74 79 5 0
09 Dec. 2020
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
1 - 1
Oita Trinita
OIT
67%
19%
14%
73 81 8 +1

Matches

FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2021
FCT
FC Tokyo
2 - 3
Vissel Kobe
VIS
45%
26%
29%
82 77 5 0
27 Feb. 2021
URA
Urawa Reds
1 - 1
FC Tokyo
FCT
37%
28%
35%
82 77 5 0
04 Jan. 2021
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
1 - 2
FC Tokyo
FCT
52%
23%
25%
81 81 0 +1
19 Dec. 2020
FCT
FC Tokyo
1 - 0
Vissel Kobe
VIS
44%
26%
30%
81 77 4 0
12 Dec. 2020
FCT
FC Tokyo
1 - 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
43%
27%
29%
81 81 0 0