OH Leuven vs Charleroi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
8º
16º
12º
6
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
14 | 49 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 48 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
14 | 47 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 47 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 46 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 44 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 43 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 42 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 42 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 41 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 38 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 37 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 34 |
14º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 29 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 28 |
16º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
21.5% | 34.5% |
|
Next round
|
45% | 47% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
33.5% | 18.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OH Leuven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
REI
0 - 1
LEU
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
LEU
2 - 1
SER
78%
15%
8%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
LEI
2 - 1
LEU
46%
24%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 1
LEU
44%
26%
31%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
LEU
0 - 2
KVC
35%
24%
41%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Charleroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
HIF
0 - 0
CHA
33%
24%
44%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
UTR
1 - 2
CHA
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 1
LIE
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
CHA
4 - 1
WAA
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
GEN
2 - 2
CHA
27%
23%
50%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |