Nikšić vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
6º
10º
10º
38
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
59.5% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nikšić
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
KOM
0 - 0
OFK
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
OFK
2 - 2
MLJ
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ZET
3 - 1
OFK
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
OFK
2 - 1
GRB
66%
20%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BOK
2 - 1
OFK
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 1
IGA
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
OUL
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 2
FKM
22%
25%
54%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 2
BOK
27%
29%
44%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
KOM
1 - 0
OUL
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |