OFC Sliven 2000 vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OFC Sliven 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DOB
0 - 0
SLI
23%
27%
51%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SLI
1 - 2
ETA
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NES
0 - 2
SLI
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SLI
3 - 0
DOR
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
NEF
1 - 0
SLI
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NES
1 - 4
LYU
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
NES
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NES
0 - 2
SLI
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SVA
0 - 1
NES
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NES
0 - 1
DOB
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |