Odd vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
16º
16º
37
8º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Odd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ODD
2 - 0
STR
37%
27%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
BOG
3 - 1
ODD
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ODD
1 - 2
HAM
42%
25%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
RBK
2 - 1
ODD
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
ODD
1 - 1
KRI
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
S08
2 - 1
SDF
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
LSK
2 - 2
S08
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
S08
1 - 1
BBS
25%
23%
52%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
S08
4 - 1
RBK
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
HAU
1 - 2
S08
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |