O'Connor Knights vs Canberra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
39%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-82%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Connor Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OKF
2 - 1
GUN
62%
18%
20%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
COO
0 - 3
OKF
37%
21%
42%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OKF
6 - 0
WWF
90%
7%
3%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GUN
0 - 1
OKF
41%
22%
38%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
OKF
44%
22%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GUN
2 - 5
CAN
24%
20%
56%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 1
CAN
24%
20%
56%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
8 - 1
CAN
64%
18%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GUN
2 - 5
CAN
33%
22%
45%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 1
MON
63%
19%
19%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |