Ockero vs IK Tord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
68.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+477%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
4º
14º
13º
16
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 53 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 50 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 47 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 45 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 43 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 42 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 41 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 41 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 37 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 29 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 29 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 20 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 17 |
13º
|
38% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 16 |
14º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
4% | 98% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
70.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ockero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FRO
2 - 0
OCK
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
OCK
3 - 1
BIK
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
OCK
4 - 0
HIT
8%
13%
80%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | +7 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LAH
5 - 2
OCK
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TIK
0 - 0
OCK
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
IK Tord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
IKT
3 - 0
HIT
55%
20%
26%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LAH
5 - 3
IKT
49%
22%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
IKT
0 - 1
LIS
63%
19%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
AST
2 - 0
IKT
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 0
IKT
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |