Ocean Boys vs Niger Tornadoes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
31.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ocean Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
RAN
1 - 0
OCE
43%
30%
27%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
OCE
2 - 0
GOM
38%
30%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
OCE
1 - 0
SHA
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
HEA
2 - 0
OCE
54%
27%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ZAM
1 - 1
OCE
56%
26%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Niger Tornadoes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
NIG
2 - 0
LOB
47%
29%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
KAD
1 - 0
NIG
39%
30%
32%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
WIK
2 - 0
NIG
43%
29%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
BAY
1 - 1
NIG
46%
28%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
NIG
1 - 0
SUN
46%
29%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |