Oberkasseler vs Alfter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
74.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
ALT
3 - 3
H05
18%
21%
62%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
RHE
2 - 3
ALT
53%
20%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 1
BWF
29%
23%
48%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
H05
4 - 2
ALT
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 2
VFL
31%
24%
46%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |