Oberena vs Lourdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
OBE
0 - 0
ATL
33%
27%
41%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
IDO
2 - 0
OBE
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
OBE
3 - 1
SUB
52%
24%
24%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CAV
1 - 2
OBE
16%
21%
63%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
OBE
2 - 1
COR
38%
28%
34%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 2
PEÑ
17%
22%
62%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
LOU
71%
18%
12%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
SJU
2 - 0
LOU
59%
23%
17%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 2
IDO
44%
25%
32%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LOU
0 - 2
HUA
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |