Oberena vs Txantrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
ALA
1 - 0
OBE
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
MUT
0 - 2
OBE
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
OBE
4 - 1
HAR
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
EUS
1 - 0
OBE
49%
25%
27%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
OBE
2 - 1
TUD
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Txantrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
CHA
3 - 1
MUT
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
HAR
1 - 0
CHA
70%
18%
13%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
CHA
3 - 1
EUS
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
TUD
1 - 0
CHA
56%
24%
21%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
CHA
0 - 1
EIB
41%
26%
33%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |