Obercorn vs Union Mertert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Obercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
OBE
1 - 4
VIC
23%
22%
56%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
USM
1 - 2
OBE
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
OBE
1 - 3
FFN
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 0
OBE
40%
23%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
OBE
1 - 0
MON
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
UME
2 - 2
BER
29%
24%
47%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CBG
8 - 2
UME
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
UME
0 - 2
YBW
43%
24%
34%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ESC
2 - 4
UME
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
UME
0 - 1
FLA
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |