Obercorn vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
81.7%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.1%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Obercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
EGR
0 - 5
OBE
7%
11%
82%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 0
OBE
41%
23%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
OBE
5 - 0
KOE
25%
20%
55%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +4 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
OBE
2 - 3
CBG
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
OBE
11 - 1
FCS
67%
16%
17%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 4
GRE
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BET
1 - 2
LOR
32%
23%
45%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 2
RES
49%
23%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
USH
3 - 1
LOR
22%
21%
57%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 1
FCR
62%
21%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |