Oberachern vs Reutlingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
18.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
9º
18º
10º
37
6º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
59% | 63% |
|
Relegation
|
41% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 37% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 1
OBE
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
2 - 5
ATS
47%
21%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
0 - 2
SCF
8%
16%
76%
|
28 | 87 | 59 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
GOP
4 - 1
OBE
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
OBE
3 - 0
NEC
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Reutlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
REU
4 - 1
FCH
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FSV
5 - 1
REU
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
REU
0 - 1
NOR
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
REU
0 - 4
STU
4%
12%
85%
|
21 | 81 | 60 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NOT
5 - 1
REU
63%
18%
19%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |