Oberachern vs Reutlingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
9º
18º
10º
37
6º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
59% | 63% |
|
Relegation
|
41% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 37% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 1
OBE
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
2 - 5
ATS
47%
21%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
0 - 2
SCF
6%
15%
80%
|
27 | 87 | 60 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
GOP
4 - 1
OBE
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
OBE
3 - 0
NEC
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Reutlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
REU
4 - 1
FCH
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FSV
5 - 1
REU
59%
20%
22%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
REU
0 - 1
NOR
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
REU
0 - 4
STU
3%
11%
86%
|
23 | 82 | 59 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NOT
5 - 1
REU
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |