Oberliga Baden-Württemberg Round 32

Oberachern vs ATSV Mutschelbach analysis

Oberachern ATSV Mutschelbach
28 ELO 31
12.3% Tilt -1.7%
4550º General ELO ranking 48186º
212º Country ELO ranking 2402º
ELO win probability
41%
Oberachern
21.3%
Draw
37.7%
ATSV Mutschelbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
Oberachern
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
37.7%
Win probability
ATSV Mutschelbach
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Oberachern
Their league position
ATSV Mutschelbach
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
13º
57
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stuttgarter Kickers
84
84
100%
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
69
69
100%
CfR Pforzheim
66
66
100%
Göppinger SV
58
58
100%
ATSV Mutschelbach
57
57
100%
Oberachern
49
49
100%
FC Holzhausen
48
48
0%
FSV Hollenbach
48
48
0%
Bissingen
47
47
100%
Nottingen
10º
45
45
10º
100%
FC 08 Villingen
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Offenburger FV
12º
40
40
12º
100%
TSG Backnang
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Reutlingen
14º
37
37
14º
0%
Ravensburg
15º
37
37
15º
100%
1.FC Rielasingen-Arlen
16º
37
37
16º
0%
Neckarsulmer SU
17º
31
31
17º
100%
Freiburger FC
18º
18
18
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Oberachern
ATSV Mutschelbach
Promotion
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Oberachern
ATSV Mutschelbach
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oberachern
Oberachern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2023
RAV
Ravensburg
1 - 0
Oberachern
OBE
38%
23%
40%
28 25 3 0
29 Apr. 2023
OBE
Oberachern
4 - 3
FC 08 Villingen
VIL
41%
23%
36%
27 31 4 +1
26 Apr. 2023
OBE
Oberachern
2 - 1
CfR Pforzheim
PFO
31%
24%
45%
25 35 10 +2
22 Apr. 2023
TSB
TSG Backnang
2 - 1
Oberachern
OBE
43%
22%
35%
26 23 3 -1
15 Apr. 2023
OBE
Oberachern
4 - 0
Bissingen
BIS
31%
22%
48%
23 27 4 +3

Matches

ATSV Mutschelbach
ATSV Mutschelbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2023
ATS
ATSV Mutschelbach
1 - 2
CfR Pforzheim
PFO
48%
22%
30%
32 35 3 0
29 Apr. 2023
TSB
TSG Backnang
1 - 2
ATSV Mutschelbach
ATS
34%
21%
45%
30 24 6 +2
26 Apr. 2023
ATS
ATSV Mutschelbach
3 - 0
Bissingen
BIS
56%
19%
25%
30 27 3 0
21 Apr. 2023
NOT
Nottingen
0 - 2
ATSV Mutschelbach
ATS
42%
20%
37%
29 24 5 +1
15 Apr. 2023
ATS
ATSV Mutschelbach
1 - 0
FC Holzhausen
FCH
54%
20%
26%
27 26 1 +2