Apertura Ascenso MX . Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Atlante FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 2
ALE
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ALE
1 - 0
AUR
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
ALE
35%
27%
39%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ALE
2 - 0
TAM
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ZAC
2 - 1
ALE
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlante FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 0
UAP
55%
26%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
JUA
2 - 3
ATL
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 0
ATL
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 3
AUR
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MER
1 - 2
ATL
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |