O'Higgins vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
CDM
0 - 2
OHI
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
ANT
1 - 0
OHI
43%
26%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
OHI
2 - 2
PUE
60%
21%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
ULC
2 - 1
OHI
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
1 - 0
OHI
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
UCO
3 - 2
PUE
46%
24%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ULC
0 - 0
UCO
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 2
EVE
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
NTA
1 - 2
UCO
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
EVE
4 - 3
UCO
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |