O Elvas vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CFB
1 - 2
OEL
45%
22%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
OEL
0 - 4
IDE
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LOU
3 - 0
OEL
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
OEL
0 - 1
CAS
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
PRA
2 - 0
OEL
30%
24%
47%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
IDE
2 - 1
OPE
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
OEL
0 - 4
IDE
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
IDE
0 - 2
SIN
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CLU
2 - 4
IDE
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
IDE
3 - 3
ORI
19%
23%
58%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | +2 |