Ukraine Third Division Group A Round 5

Nyva Ternopil II vs Polissya Zhytomyr II analysis

Nyva Ternopil II Polissya Zhytomyr II
18 ELO 20
-6.6% Tilt -5.6%
14376º General ELO ranking 12729º
78º Country ELO ranking 73º
ELO win probability
36.5%
Nyva Ternopil II
21.9%
Draw
41.6%
Polissya Zhytomyr II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
Nyva Ternopil II
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
41.6%
Win probability
Polissya Zhytomyr II
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nyva Ternopil II
+551%
+654%
Polissya Zhytomyr II

Points and table prediction

Nyva Ternopil II
Their league position
Polissya Zhytomyr II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
5
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Skala Stryi
3
39
40%
Uzhhorod
2
38
27%
FC Nyva Vinnytsya
10º
1
37
23.5%
FC Kulikiv-Bilka
4
34
21.5%
Polissya Zhytomyr II
5
29
17.5%
Real Pharma
11º
1
28
21.5%
Nyva Ternopil II
6
27
14%
Bukovyna Chernivtsi II
6
24
20%
FC Vilkhivtsi
1
19
17.5%
Atlet Kyiv
6
18
10º
22.5%
FK Lisne
5
17
11º
33%
Expected probabilities
Nyva Ternopil II
Polissya Zhytomyr II
Promotion
2% 5.5%
Promotion play-offs
3% 7.5%
Mid-table
95% 87%

ELO progression

Nyva Ternopil II
Polissya Zhytomyr II
FC Nyva Vinnytsya
Uzhhorod
FC Kulikiv-Bilka
Atlet Kyiv
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nyva Ternopil II
Nyva Ternopil II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2025
NYV
Nyva Ternopil II
1 - 0
FC Kulikiv-Bilka
FKB
16%
18%
66%
16 30 14 0
26 Jul. 2025
NYV
FC Nyva Vinnytsya
0 - 1
Nyva Ternopil II
NYV
85%
10%
5%
15 50 35 +1
17 May. 2025
NYV
Nyva Ternopil II
2 - 1
Polissya Zhytomyr II
POZ
22%
20%
58%
14 20 6 +1
10 May. 2025
RUT
Rukh Lviv II
3 - 0
Nyva Ternopil II
NYV
84%
11%
5%
14 40 26 0
04 May. 2025
NYV
Nyva Ternopil II
1 - 1
Uzhhorod
FCU
16%
21%
63%
13 53 40 +1

Matches

Polissya Zhytomyr II
Polissya Zhytomyr II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2025
VIL
FC Vilkhivtsi
3 - 3
Polissya Zhytomyr II
POZ
23%
20%
56%
20 15 5 0
02 Aug. 2025
POZ
Polissya Zhytomyr II
2 - 2
FK Lisne
FKL
82%
11%
6%
21 10 11 -1
26 Jul. 2025
SST
Skala Stryi
1 - 3
Polissya Zhytomyr II
POZ
74%
16%
10%
19 56 37 +2
17 May. 2025
NYV
Nyva Ternopil II
2 - 1
Polissya Zhytomyr II
POZ
22%
20%
58%
20 14 6 -1
10 May. 2025
POZ
Polissya Zhytomyr II
2 - 0
Real Pharma
RPH
26%
21%
53%
18 25 7 +2