Ukraine Third Division Group A Round 7

Nyva Ternopil II vs Bukovyna Chernivtsi II analysis

Nyva Ternopil II Bukovyna Chernivtsi II
21 ELO 14
-6.9% Tilt -5.6%
13438º General ELO ranking 15758º
75º Country ELO ranking 82º
ELO win probability
72.6%
Nyva Ternopil II
15.5%
Draw
11.9%
Bukovyna Chernivtsi II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
Nyva Ternopil II
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.9%
Win probability
Bukovyna Chernivtsi II
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nyva Ternopil II
+781%
+223%
Bukovyna Chernivtsi II

Points and table prediction

Nyva Ternopil II
Their league position
Bukovyna Chernivtsi II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
6
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Skala Stryi
6
40
35.5%
Uzhhorod
2
40
29.5%
Nyva Vinnytsya
10º
1
37
21%
FC Kulikiv-Bilka
4
36
17.5%
Nyva Ternopil II
6
33
25.5%
Real Pharma
11º
1
28
24.5%
Polissya Zhytomyr II
5
27
29%
FK Lisne
8
22
22.5%
Bukovyna Chernivtsi II
6
20
19.5%
FC Vilkhivtsi
1
16
10º
27%
Atlet Kyiv
6
15
11º
35.5%
Expected probabilities
Nyva Ternopil II
Bukovyna Chernivtsi II
Promotion
4% 0%
Promotion play-offs
6% 0%
Mid-table
90% 100%

ELO progression

Nyva Ternopil II
Bukovyna Chernivtsi II
Polissya Zhytomyr II
Uzhhorod
FC Vilkhivtsi
Atlet Kyiv
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nyva Ternopil II
Nyva Ternopil II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2025
NYV
Nyva Ternopil II
1 - 0
FC Kulikiv-Bilka
FKB
16%
19%
65%
19 33 14 0
26 Jul. 2025
NYV
Nyva Vinnytsya
0 - 1
Nyva Ternopil II
NYV
85%
10%
5%
18 47 29 +1
17 May. 2025
NYV
Nyva Ternopil II
2 - 1
Polissya Zhytomyr II
POZ
31%
22%
47%
17 20 3 +1
10 May. 2025
RUT
Rukh Lviv II
3 - 0
Nyva Ternopil II
NYV
84%
11%
5%
17 41 24 0
04 May. 2025
NYV
Nyva Ternopil II
1 - 1
Uzhhorod
FCU
7%
12%
81%
13 48 35 +4

Matches

Bukovyna Chernivtsi II
Bukovyna Chernivtsi II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 2025
FBC
Bukovyna Chernivtsi II
0 - 2
FK Lisne
FKL
43%
22%
36%
14 14 0 0
10 Aug. 2025
SST
Skala Stryi
3 - 4
Bukovyna Chernivtsi II
FBC
75%
16%
9%
12 56 44 +2
02 Aug. 2025
FBC
Bukovyna Chernivtsi II
2 - 0
Real Pharma
RPH
8%
14%
78%
9 26 17 +3