NVC vs Hillegom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
DSO
0 - 3
NVC
27%
21%
53%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
NVC
0 - 1
RKV
59%
19%
22%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ZAN
1 - 2
NVC
54%
20%
26%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
NVC
2 - 1
UIT
42%
21%
37%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SDO
2 - 1
NVC
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hillegom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
HIL
0 - 2
FCB
36%
21%
43%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
AGB
2 - 0
HIL
46%
21%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
HIL
3 - 2
ZEE
49%
22%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LEG
0 - 2
HIL
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
AGB
1 - 2
HIL
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |