NVC vs Purmersteijn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ROD
2 - 5
NVC
33%
25%
43%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
NVC
1 - 1
DEK
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
NVC
6 - 1
KFC
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
NVC
1 - 1
JOS
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
DEZ
0 - 0
NVC
66%
20%
15%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Purmersteijn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PUR
2 - 1
USV
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
DEM
1 - 0
PUR
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
PUR
4 - 0
KFC
67%
19%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
DWV
2 - 2
PUR
33%
25%
43%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PUR
4 - 0
JOS
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +3 |