Nürnberg II vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
MEM
0 - 1
NUR
22%
22%
55%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
NUR
0 - 1
VRG
62%
19%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
FCP
3 - 0
NUR
13%
19%
68%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
2 - 0
NUR
17%
21%
63%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
NUR
2 - 0
ING
48%
23%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
VRG
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ING
2 - 1
GRE
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
SEL
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +3 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
WAC
34%
26%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ILL
0 - 3
GRE
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |