Nürnberg II vs VfB Eichstätt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2022 |
RAI
1 - 1
NUR
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
ELT
3 - 3
NUR
20%
23%
57%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NUR
0 - 0
HEI
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
AUG
4 - 2
NUR
25%
24%
50%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
NUR
3 - 1
ILL
53%
23%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Eichstätt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
EIC
2 - 2
WAC
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
AUB
4 - 0
EIC
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
EIC
1 - 1
BUC
58%
22%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
EIC
0 - 3
ELT
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
EIC
0 - 0
GRE
67%
19%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |