Nürnberg II vs Buchbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MEM
1 - 1
NUR
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
NUR
6 - 0
VRG
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
NUR
3 - 3
VIK
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SCH
0 - 3
NUR
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
NUR
3 - 1
HEI
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
BUC
2 - 0
ILL
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
AUG
2 - 2
BUC
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
BUC
2 - 0
ROS
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
MEM
1 - 1
BUC
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
BUC
1 - 1
VRG
60%
20%
21%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |