Nürnberg II vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
ROS
1 - 0
NUR
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
NUR
5 - 1
UNT
38%
24%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 1
NUR
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
NUR
2 - 2
FCP
54%
21%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 2
NUR
20%
22%
58%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
BAY
2 - 3
WAC
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
AUB
1 - 2
BAY
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 5
BAY
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
RAI
0 - 4
BAY
24%
22%
53%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
SSV
4 - 0
BAY
81%
13%
6%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |