Nürnberg II vs Bayern Hof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
LAN
1 - 3
NUR
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
NUR
2 - 1
TSV
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2000 |
NUR
2 - 0
WEI
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
SCS
0 - 2
NUR
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
NUR
1 - 1
WUR
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
BAY
1 - 2
TSV
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
BAY
3 - 0
FCS
74%
17%
10%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
FCP
3 - 3
BAY
13%
23%
64%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
BAY
0 - 0
KEM
79%
14%
8%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
BAY
2 - 1
ANS
60%
20%
19%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |