Regionalliga Bayern. Jor. 18

Nürnberg II vs FC Augsburg II analysis

Nürnberg II FC Augsburg II
49 ELO 47
10.5% Tilt -1.3%
3706º General ELO ranking 3489º
107º Country ELO ranking 101º
ELO win probability
60.1%
Nürnberg II
21.1%
Draw
18.9%
FC Augsburg II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
Nürnberg II
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.9%
Win probability
FC Augsburg II
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nürnberg II
+34%
+22%
FC Augsburg II

ELO progression

Nürnberg II
FC Augsburg II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nürnberg II
Nürnberg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2016
NUR
Nürnberg II
3 - 3
Bayern München II
BAY
51%
24%
25%
50 49 1 0
23 Oct. 2016
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
0 - 1
Nürnberg II
NUR
27%
25%
48%
50 42 8 0
15 Oct. 2016
NUR
Nürnberg II
2 - 2
Memmingen
MEM
61%
21%
18%
50 44 6 0
08 Oct. 2016
VRG
VfR Garching
3 - 4
Nürnberg II
NUR
28%
25%
46%
50 42 8 0
01 Oct. 2016
NUR
Nürnberg II
2 - 2
Rosenheim
ROS
70%
18%
12%
50 40 10 0

Matches

FC Augsburg II
FC Augsburg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2016
SCH
Schweinfurt
1 - 1
FC Augsburg II
AUG
38%
25%
37%
46 41 5 0
22 Oct. 2016
AUG
FC Augsburg II
3 - 0
Schalding-Heining
SCH
65%
20%
16%
45 37 8 +1
19 Oct. 2016
AUG
FC Augsburg II
1 - 0
1860 München II
186
42%
24%
34%
44 46 2 +1
15 Oct. 2016
BAY
Bayern Hof
0 - 4
FC Augsburg II
AUG
21%
25%
54%
44 31 13 0
07 Oct. 2016
BAY
Bayern München II
0 - 0
FC Augsburg II
AUG
59%
23%
19%
44 50 6 0
X