Nürnberg II vs Aubstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 1
NUR
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
NUR
0 - 1
RAI
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
BUC
2 - 1
NUR
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
NUR
3 - 1
VIK
58%
21%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 1
NUR
59%
20%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
AUB
1 - 2
WAC
43%
25%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
ILL
1 - 2
AUB
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 3
AUB
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AUB
4 - 0
RAI
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BUC
1 - 1
AUB
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |