Cosenza vs ASD Sambiase analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GEL
0 - 2
NUO
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NUO
1 - 2
USV
77%
16%
8%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ACP
2 - 1
NUO
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NUO
2 - 0
COM
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
COM
0 - 1
NUO
19%
23%
59%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 3
MES
27%
27%
46%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
LIC
1 - 1
ASD
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 2
CAV
26%
26%
48%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 0
ASD
63%
20%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GEL
1 - 0
ASD
50%
24%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |