Numancia vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
HER
2 - 0
NUM
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ELC
1 - 1
NUM
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
NUM
3 - 0
UDL
60%
23%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
NUM
1 - 2
VAD
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
XER
1 - 1
NUM
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
XER
3 - 1
RCF
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
XER
1 - 1
ALB
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
HER
2 - 2
XER
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
SPO
2 - 1
XER
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
XER
1 - 1
NUM
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |