Numancia vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
OVI
3 - 0
NUM
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
ALA
0 - 2
NUM
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
NUM
0 - 2
RAY
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
ESP
2 - 0
NUM
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2001 |
LEG
2 - 0
NUM
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
VAD
2 - 0
MLL
39%
28%
33%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
VAD
2 - 2
RMA
22%
24%
54%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
FCB
3 - 1
VAD
81%
13%
7%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
VAD
3 - 1
DEP
33%
28%
39%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2001 |
EXT
2 - 1
VAD
35%
28%
37%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |