Numancia vs Utebo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
NUM
0 - 0
BAR
42%
30%
28%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
IZA
0 - 1
NUM
55%
25%
20%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
NUM
3 - 0
VAL
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
OSA
0 - 0
NUM
48%
28%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1993 |
CFP
2 - 0
NUM
42%
28%
29%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Utebo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
LEM
2 - 0
UFC
70%
20%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
UFC
1 - 4
LOG
29%
30%
41%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 1993 |
BAS
4 - 1
UFC
68%
21%
11%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
UFC
0 - 0
ALA
18%
29%
53%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1993 |
UFC
1 - 1
CLU
39%
28%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |