Numancia vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
BUR
1 - 0
NUM
14%
25%
62%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
NUM
2 - 2
VAL
68%
21%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ROB
0 - 0
NUM
13%
23%
64%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
NUM
1 - 0
LEA
76%
17%
7%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SPB
1 - 0
NUM
16%
24%
60%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
UPL
2 - 2
CUL
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
UPL
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BUR
0 - 2
UPL
43%
27%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
UPL
1 - 1
SPB
42%
26%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
UPL
2 - 1
VAL
35%
28%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |