Numancia vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CDT
3 - 2
NUM
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
NUM
2 - 2
ZAR
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FCB
3 - 0
NUM
55%
23%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NUM
0 - 1
MIR
55%
26%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
NUM
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
RMC
0 - 1
EIB
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 2
RMC
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
RMC
0 - 2
DEP
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PON
0 - 0
RMC
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
RMC
1 - 2
MLL
43%
25%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |