Numancia vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
NUM
2 - 3
MUR
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CEL
1 - 2
NUM
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
NUM
0 - 2
SEV
20%
25%
55%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
GET
1 - 0
NUM
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
NUM
1 - 0
REC
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 2
ELC
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ELC
0 - 2
HUE
62%
24%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
ELC
1 - 2
RSO
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
GIM
2 - 0
ELC
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
LEV
2 - 0
ELC
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |