Numancia vs CD Utrillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1984 |
SAB
3 - 2
NUM
55%
25%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
NUM
1 - 0
IZA
82%
13%
6%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
SDA
1 - 0
NUM
41%
28%
31%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
NUM
5 - 1
PEÑ
82%
13%
6%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1984 |
ALF
0 - 0
NUM
52%
26%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Utrillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1984 |
CDU
2 - 0
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
BUR
1 - 0
CDU
44%
29%
27%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
CDU
1 - 1
CDC
45%
28%
27%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
CLH
3 - 1
CDU
62%
23%
15%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1984 |
CDU
3 - 0
ATL
33%
27%
40%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +3 |