Numancia vs Alcañiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.9%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.4%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.3%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6%
1.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
AND
3 - 1
NUM
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
NUM
3 - 2
BAR
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
CSE
0 - 2
NUM
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
NUM
4 - 1
CDM
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
REN
3 - 1
NUM
23%
24%
54%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | -3 |
Matches
Alcañiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
ACF
0 - 0
CAS
34%
26%
41%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
HUE
4 - 0
ACF
87%
10%
4%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
ACF
0 - 2
ATL
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
TAR
5 - 0
ACF
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
ACF
0 - 1
AZA
81%
12%
6%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |