Numancia vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
SAB
1 - 3
NUM
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 0
NUM
63%
22%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
NUM
3 - 0
FCB
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
HER
1 - 3
NUM
65%
21%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
NUM
0 - 3
DEP
29%
28%
43%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 2
VAD
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
SAB
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 0
ALC
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 1
ELC
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CEL
3 - 0
ALC
57%
25%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |