Nueva Concepción vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
NUE
2 - 1
ANT
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
TOR
2 - 1
NUE
70%
19%
12%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
NUE
3 - 2
AME
53%
24%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
NUE
3 - 2
SPD
33%
26%
42%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
IZT
4 - 2
NUE
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
IZT
2 - 2
MIX
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
MIX
1 - 0
COA
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 0
MIX
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
MIX
0 - 0
ESC
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
SPD
1 - 0
MIX
61%
22%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |