Primera Apertura Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Nueva Concepción vs Dep. Chiantla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 1
NUE
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
NUE
5 - 2
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
NUE
46%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
REU
1 - 1
NUE
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
NUE
1 - 0
IZT
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 1
NUE
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
DEP
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
DEP
2 - 1
UNI
29%
27%
45%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
DEP
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 0
SOL
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |