Nueva Concepción vs Chimaltenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
SPD
2 - 0
NUE
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
NUE
1 - 1
SLC
45%
26%
28%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
NUE
3 - 2
VEN
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
NUE
2 - 0
SPD
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 0
NUE
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 2
REU
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
QUI
1 - 0
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 0
SOL
43%
25%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 0
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 3
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -3 |