Nueva Concepción vs Chimaltenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
IZT
1 - 1
NUE
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
NUE
2 - 0
SOL
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
NUE
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
NUE
3 - 2
ROS
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NUE
0 - 1
DEP
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 1
SLC
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ESC
2 - 0
CHI
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
IZT
1 - 0
CHI
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
SOL
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
DEP
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |