Nueva Concepción vs Barillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
AYU
2 - 1
NUE
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NUE
1 - 0
PUE
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SPD
5 - 1
NUE
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
NUE
1 - 0
LAG
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 1
NUE
51%
24%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
LAG
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
AUR
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
HUE
1 - 0
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
AYU
1 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SPD
2 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |