Nueva Concepción vs Dep. Ayutla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ANT
0 - 0
NUE
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NUE
1 - 1
IZT
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AUR
3 - 0
NUE
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NUE
2 - 1
LAG
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
NUE
1 - 1
COA
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Ayutla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AYU
3 - 0
SPD
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PUE
1 - 0
AYU
46%
26%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ANT
0 - 0
AYU
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
AYU
3 - 1
IZT
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
AUR
3 - 0
AYU
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |