Nueva Concepción vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 0
NUE
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
NUE
1 - 5
IZT
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
COB
5 - 1
NUE
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NUE
0 - 3
ANT
20%
27%
54%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NUE
1 - 0
CHI
23%
26%
51%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
ACH
2 - 1
CHI
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 0
ACH
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 0
COM
30%
30%
40%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 1
ACH
31%
27%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 0
GUA
33%
31%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |