Ñublense vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
ANT
0 - 1
NUB
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
UNI
0 - 0
NUB
38%
26%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
NUB
1 - 0
DLS
55%
23%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2008 |
EVE
1 - 1
NUB
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
NUB
2 - 1
OHI
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCO
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 0
UNI
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
COB
1 - 3
UCO
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 1
DLS
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
CON
2 - 0
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |