Ñublense vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
UNI
2 - 2
NUB
50%
24%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
NUB
0 - 2
COL
24%
25%
50%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
EVE
1 - 2
NUB
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
NUB
3 - 3
UCO
30%
29%
41%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
NUB
1 - 0
PAL
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
UCO
3 - 1
CSL
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 2
COL
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
LOT
2 - 4
UCO
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 0
PAL
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
PUE
1 - 3
UCO
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |