Ñublense vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
57.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
NUB
32%
29%
40%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
NUB
2 - 3
USF
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
NUB
5 - 0
DCO
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 4
NUB
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
NUB
1 - 2
DEP
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
UCO
4 - 2
COL
51%
24%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCO
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 0
ULC
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
DLS
1 - 2
UCO
23%
25%
52%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
OHI
2 - 0
UCO
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |